Wednesday, September 24, 2008

DISCUSSION: BOCCIERI HEADING TOWARDS A 55% TO 45% VICTORY?


Survey USA published a new poll yesterday showing Democrat John Boccieri leading Republican Kirk Schuring.

Several months ago the STARK COUNTY POLITICAL REPORT (The Report) assessed that the 16th District Congressional race was John Boccieri's to lose.

Nothing has happened in this campaign to change The Report's thinking.

The Report stands by its estimate that Boccieri will likely win in the range from 55% to 45% to 52% to 48%.

If Boccieri continues to pick up 6 out of 10 "undecided" voters, he will top out at 54/55%.

What can Schuring do to alter this trend? Not much. The nation, rightly or wrongly, will be turning to Democrats this fall.

While Schuring is a strong Republican candidate, he is not the strongest that the Republicans could have fielded. That would have been Republican state Representative Scott Oelslager.

What do you think the final margin of victory be? Which candidate will end up on top?

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