Showing posts with label Stark County Budget Director Chris Nichols. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stark County Budget Director Chris Nichols. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

ARE THE "GOOD 'OLE' TIMES" BACK TO STARK CO. GOVERNMENT?



VIDEOS

THE COMPLETE 
STARK COUNTY BUDGET PRESENTATION
BY
TOPIC

To repeat the headline on this blog.

Are the "good ole times" back in full swing in Stark County government finances?

Days in which the-then sitting commissioners (Bosley, Harmon, Meeks and early on Vignos [2008]) seemed to be sitting around wringing their hands about the impending doom about to descend on Stark County government finances.

Undoubtedly, an action that he came to regret in terms of sabotaging his own political future, it appears to the SCPR that Commissioner Bosley convinced Tom Harmon and Jane Vignos to "impose" a 1/2 cent county sales tax on Stark Countians.

Well, the people rejected the imposition in repealing the tax in November, 2009.

With the election of Tom Bernabei and Janet Creighton in November, 2010; county finances have gotten much better.


But to return to the question of the "good ole times" returning.

The answer is a resounding No!

There are many unmet needs (especially along capital items) that are not among the appropriations that Stark County commissioners Thomas Bernabei, Janet Creighton and Richard Regula will be in effect making when they approve the budget next Wednesday at the regular weekly commissioners' meeting.

While in prior blogs the SCPR has criticized various county officials (e.g. Sheriff George T. Maier, the commissioners themselves and others) for not being judicious in their spending of taxpayer money.

Maier in particular leaves much to be desired in the choices he makes in spending Stark County taxpayer dollars of which there are many given that Stark Countians passed in November, 2011 a 1/2 cent sales tax. 


There are those who think he rewarded several sheriff department employees with promotions (in some cases "leap frog" promotions [i.e. lieutenant to major]) as a consequence of their having been key campaign supporters in his race for sheriff last November.

The tax which runs for eight years has been termed the Justice System Sales Tax (JSST) and is dedicated to funding justice system entities of Stark County government.

The commissioners themselves have made up for the diminishing of the numbers of employees during "the lean years" (2012 being the low point) in spades in creating new, well-paid positions and thereby pumping up the annual payroll of employees in the direct hire of the commissioners considerably.

Now looking at the chart below (provided by the county), it appears that the county is on a trajectory to have nearly a 50% increase of overall revenues by the end of 2015 fiscal year (red arrow lines and shading added by the SCPR)


One of those hires (June, 2013) however may be paying for itself in terms of overall fiscal integrity and stability of county finances.

That being Chris Nichols who is the county's budget guru.

Nichols is instituting a discipline in the budget process that clearly is having the effect being sustainable in years going forward.

On Monday of this week, Nichols presented the budget which is to be adopted by commissioners a week from today at their regular weekly meeting.

VIDEO HIGHLIGHTS OF THE PRESENTATION

"Stark County is in a good spot financially."(a Nichols quote)



"Maintaining conservative assumptions allows for absorbing some forecast surprises and misses through the years."


 "Just as an example, looking at that 2.5% increase that we forecast in sales tax [collections], next year is an election year for the president. In 2016, if Tom Bernabei were to be election, the economy tanks ... [lol]"




"The directions I was given by the Board [of Stark County Commissioners], the county must live within our means are that we must live within our means."

Which means:
  • Stark County will be holding the line on new hires, and

  • that Stark County under Nichols' directorship intends to stick to his conservatively-based assumptions including the need in terms of millions of dollars for capital outlays, for example:
    • drainage ditch management to alleviate flooding throughout Stark County,
    • county emergency forces radio replacement expenditures, and 
    • county building roof repairs


"We need to come down [in the 2015 department appropriations] at least 2.3%.  At least this is better than last year.  You will remember that last year when we went through this process we needed to come down about 5% from the budget requests."



DEPARTMENT 35 EXPENDITURES

Mostly mandatory but some discretionary obligations of Stark County government.



DEPARTMENT 43 CAPITAL REQUESTS GOING FORWARD

COMPARING JUSTICE SYSTEM PERCENT OF BUDGET TO ENTIRE BUDGET

Even though Stark Countians put financial oomph into Stark County justice system needs, at 70% of the entire Stark government budget it, the 28 million, more or less, that the JSST raises does not do the complete job of financing Stark County justice system.



FUNDING RETIREMENT NEEDS

Many governments (for that matter private enterprises) dramatically underfund retirement plans.

So if there is a "run on retirements," the underfunder can get itself in a real financial bind.

That Director Nichols has a plan to put Stark County in a better position to fund retirement is "so impressive" to the SCPR.

Governments expect citizens to be responsible.

Well, that cuts both ways.

Government employees work years to build up a retirement nest egg.

Way too many times (e.g. Detroit, Michigan) these folks retire and get their benefits ripped asunder because of irresponsible levels of funding year to year.

Again, kudos to Nichols for bringing the commissioners on board in this regard.



THE FINAL BUDGET PROCESS/Q&A

The SCPR's take on the Stark County commissioners as presently constituted is that they listen.

They may not agree with those who make requests of them, but they DO listen.

As a conclusion to this blog, here is a video of Nichols wrapping up Monday's session.



The wrap up includes an entreaty for any and all county department heads to get back to him by Noon on Friday with any comments, objections and the like inasmuch as it contemplated that the commissioners will be adopting Nichols' recommendations at the Wednesday, March 23, 2015 regular weekly commissioners' meeting held in the commissioners' meeting room located on the second floor of the Stark County Office Building at 1:30 p.m.

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

(VIDEO) SCPR SERIES ON 2014 STARK CO. BUDGET - VOLUME NO. 6



VIDEO

STARK CO. BUDGET DIRECTOR
CHRIS NICHOLS

SEGMENT 6

CAPITAL BUDGET
"NEW" DEPT 43
DEPT 35
NEW FOR 2014
COMING IN 2015
FINAL 2014 BUDGET PLAN PROCESS

As "a public service" the SCPR brings to everyday Stark Countians a multi-part series (eight blogs in all) on the "proposed" (see disclaimer in graphic above) 2014 Stark County budget.

Today, The Report presents Volume  of Stark County Commissioners' Budget Director Chris Nichols' 2014 Stark County "proposed" budget.

Readers of this blog to get a full appreciation of Nichols' presentation should make sure that they have read prior blogs in order as listed below:
  1. Volume 1
  2. Volume 2 
  3. Volume 3 
  4. Volume 4
  5. Volume 5
In Volume 1, Commissioner Thomas Bernabei appears in the video and outlines the four (4) guidelines that he and fellow commissioners Janet Creighton and Richard Regula laid out to Nichols in formulating the 2014 budget, to wit:
  1. The county must live within its means,
  2. New revenue for the year must support the operation budget of the county through 2019,
  3. Carry-over funds cannot be used to fund the day-to-day operations of government,
  4. He must build a 2014 budget that forms a viable base on which budgets through 2019 can be realistically projected as being "sustainable budgets"
In today's presentation, Budget Director Nichols finalizes this nearly 45 minute presentation (overall; this video being about 7 minutes) talking about:
  • capital items in the 2014 budget,
  • the fact these items beginning in 2014 in the budget being placed in a new Department 43,
  • Department 35 budget items,
  • a summation of "new" items in 2014, and 
  • what is coming as being "new" in 2015

    (VIDEO) SCPR SERIES ON 2014 STARK CO. BUDGET - VOLUME NO. 5




    VIDEO

    STARK CO. BUDGET DIRECTOR
    CHRIS NICHOLS

    SEGMENT 5

    THE 2014 PROPOSED BUDGET

    BUDGET DIRECTOR CHRIS NICHOLS
    EXPLAINS
    "HOW WE GOT THERE"

    As "a public service" the SCPR brings to everyday Stark Countians a multi-part series (eight blogs in all) on the "proposed" (see disclaimer in graphic above) 2014 Stark County budget.

    Today, The Report presents Volume 5 of Stark County Commissioners' Budget Director Chris Nichols' 2014 Stark County "proposed" budget.

    Readers of this blog to get a full appreciation of Nichols' presentation should make sure that they have read prior blogs in order as listed below:
    1. Volume 1
    2. Volume 2 
    3. Volume 3 
    4. Volume 4
    In Volume 1, Commissioner Thomas Bernabei appears in the video and oulines the four (4) guidelines that he and fellow commissioners Janet Creighton and Richard Regula laid out to Nichols in formulating the 2014 budget, to wit:
    1. The county must live within its means,
    2. New revenue for the year must support the operation budget of the county through 2019,
    3. Carry-over funds cannot be used to fund the day-to-day operations of government,
    4. He must build a 2014 budget that forms a viable base on which budgets through 2019 can be realistically projected as being "sustainable" budgets.
    In this series of blogs we have traveled the twists, turns and travails of the budgetary road with our driver and Stark County budget director Chris Nichols.


    The SCPR has annotated Nichols' graphic to show which departments did good and which did not do so good in toeing the line of being a team player in helping the county realize a trajectory which will keep the county solvent through 2019 when the current 0.5% eight year long sales tax expires.

    While 2019 seems like a long way off, in terms of setting the table to be in a position for the Stark County voting public to say in the primary or general election of 2019 (at sales tax levy renewal time) "well done, thou good and faithful servant," 2014 is a critical year in establishing a base which with a few tweaks in years 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018 puts the county in a position to achieve voter approval in 2019.

    One of the most telling charts that Nichols prepared was one in which he did a history of appropriations from 2010 (before the financial crisis hit full force) and 2014, which, of course, is the first year of full recovery from the nose dive of 2011 and 2012.


    Travel along via video with Budget Director Nichols as he takes us down "the road less traveled" of fiscal austerity that many of we taxpayers think that government at all levels has pretty much avoided over much of the history of our nation.



    (VIDEO) SCPR SERIES ON 2014 STARK CO. BUDGET - VOLUME NO. 4



    VIDEO

    STARK CO. BUDGET DIRECTOR
    CHRIS NICHOLS

    SEGMENT 4

    PROJECTED 40%
    CASH FLOW DECLINE

    As "a public service" the SCPR brings to everyday Stark Countians a multi-part series (eight blogs in all) on the "proposed" (see disclaimer in graphic above) 2014 Stark County budget.

    Today, The Report presents Volume 4 of Stark County Commissioners' Budget Director Chris Nichols' 2014 Stark County "proposed" budget.

    Readers of this blog to get a full appreciation of Nichols' presentation should make sure that they have read prior blogs in order as listed below:
    1. Volume 1
    2. Volume 2 
    3. Volume 3
    In Volume 1, Commissioner Thomas Bernabei appears in the video and outlines the four (4) guidelines that he and fellow commissioners Janet Creighton and Richard Regula laid out to Nichols in formulating the 2014 budget, to wit:
    1. The county must live within its means,
    2. New revenue for the year must support the operation budget of the county through 2019,
    3. Carry-over funds cannot be used to fund the day-to-day operations of government,
    4. He must build a 2014 budget that forms a viable base on which budgets through 2019 can be realistically projected as being "sustainable budgets
    In video segment 4 Nichols focuses on cash flow.

    Why cash flow?

    In 2014 Stark County has about $10.5 million in carry-over from 2013.

    By the time the county gets to 2018, the carry over is down to about $6 million.

    The dissipation means that because there are increases in annual budgetary expenditures not offset by proportional increases in revenues, the county has to dip into that original $10.5 million to make up the difference which means that the county is running more of a risk that in the case of a calamity of some sort the county is less prepared to meet an emergency need.

    • SCPR Note:  The Report has taken the liberty to:
      • add in to Nichols' chart red (for increased expenditures) dotted horizontal lines with red vertical lines to show graphically the approximate double rate of increased expenditures over increased revenues for the time span 2014 through 2018 to show the precarious state that Stark County government finances are
    If the decline becomes even greater because of even a slight error in Nichols' assumption, there is the possibility (the SCPR's view; not one expressed by Nichols) that the county could get itself into a "rob Peter to pay Paul" situation.  In other words, living "hand to mouth" throughout a given budgetary year as the sales tax cycle (ending in 2019) closes out.

    Follow along with Chris Nichols' excellent presentation in his own words:


    Monday, March 17, 2014

    (VIDEO) SCPR SERIES ON 2014 STARK CO. BUDGET - VOLUME NO. 3



    VIDEO

    STARK CO. BUDGET DIRECTOR
    CHRIS NICHOLS

    SEGMENT 3

    REVENUES - PART 2
    &
    "BIG" INCREASE
    FROM
    2013 TO 2014

    As "a public service" the SCPR brings to everyday Stark Countians a multi-part series (eight blogs in all) on the "proposed" (see disclaimer in graphic above) 2014 Stark County budget.

    Today, The Report presents Volume 3 of Stark County Commissioners' Budget Director Chris Nichols' 2014 Stark County "proposed" budget.

    Readers of this blog to get a full appreciation of Nichols' presentation should make sure that they have read prior blogs in order as listed below:
    1. Volume 1
    2. Volume 2
    In Volume 1, Commissioner Thomas Bernabei appears in the video and outlines the four (4) guidelines that he and fellow commissioners Janet Creighton and Richard Regula laid out to Nichols in formulating the 2014 budget, to wit:
    1. The county must live within its means,
    2. New revenue for the year must support the operation budget of the county through 2019,
    3. Carry-over funds cannot be used to fund the day-to-day operations of government,
    4. He must build a 2014 budget that forms a viable base on which budgets through 2019 can be realistically projected as being "sustainable budgets
    In segment 3 Nichols reveals what a "conservative" financial guy he is.

    Take a look at this slide from his presentation:


    He relied on the Stark County Budget Commission projects of $55.6 million as the estimate of revenues available for the 2014 which he understood to be on the conservative side.

    And was he correct in his assessment?

    Indeed!

    The real number is going to be more like $59.3 million.

    The commissioners and county department heads have to like Nichols brand of being conservative, no?

    As impressive as he was on the revenue projects, the SCPR thinks he might be missing the mark on his assumptions, to wit:


    Most likely on the last point:  local government funding and casino revenues.

    When proponents were selling the casino idea to the Ohio General Assembly, it was all "pie in the sky," remember?

    How often are we seeing these days media accounts of disappointing casino revenues flowing through to local governments?

    The Report thinks Kasich is going to dish out another hit on local government funding if he is reelected.


      Sunday, March 16, 2014

      (VIDEO) SCPR SERIES ON 2014 STARK CO. BUDGET - VOLUME NO. 2




      VIDEO

      STARK CO. BUDGET DIRECTOR
      CHRIS NICHOLS

      SEGMENT 2

      REVENUES - PART 1

      As "a public service" the SCPR brings to everyday Stark Countians a multi-part series (eight blogs in all) on the "proposed" (see disclaimer in graphic above) 2014 Stark County budget.

      Today, The Report presents Volume 2 of Stark County Commissioners' Budget Director Chris Nichols' 2014 Stark County "proposed" budget.

      Readers of this blog to get a full appreciation of Nichols' presentation should make sure that they have read prior blogs in order as listed below:
      1. Volume 1
      In Volume 1, Commissioner Thomas Bernabei appears in the video and outlines the four (4) guidelines that he and fellow commissioners Janet Creighton and Richard Regula laid out to Nichols in formulating the 2014 budget, to wit:
      1. The county must live within its means,
      2. New revenue for the year must support the operation budget of the county through 2019,
      3. Carry-over funds cannot be used to fund the day-to-day operations of government,
      4. He must build a 2014 budget that forms a viable base on which budgets through 2019 can be realistically projected as being "sustainable budgets,
      In this segment 2, Nichols talks about:
      • the projected dip in revenues for budget year 2014 and the specific reasons for the slide,
      • the breakdown of where Stark County revenues come from and the percentage of each category, and
      • the fact that the total county revenues come from 27 different sources,
      Much ado has been made by various Stark County officials (e.g. Canton mayor William J. Healy, North Canton officials et cetera) and there is no doubt that villages, townships and cities have been hurt because of the beginning in 2011 the halving of State of Ohio funds (e.g. local government funds, the estate tax and a public utilities tax) being distributed to Stark's political subdivisions.

      A few years ago State of Ohio local government funding of county government was more than double the current percentage (4.3%) of total county revenues.

      Some observers think that, if Republican John Kasich is reelected, there will be another round of local government funds slashing.  In recent days, the governor has come out with a proposal to make an 8.5% across-all-tax brackets in cuts.  The question is:  Will some of the make-up of lost revenues be at the expense of local governments?

      Here is a 6:53 video of Nichols's comments on the state of Stark County revenues.